The “natural resources sensitivity” symbolizes the ecosystem vitality and degree of conservation in 2010. Deforestation and loss of water resources quality may render certain areas more sensitive to climate stressors on account of the loss of normal vegetation cover, the depletion of biodiversity, the reduction in ecosystem services and significant loss of beneficial assets. The index results from the first cluster of the Principal Component Analysis preformed among 16 potential variables. The analysis identify five dominant variables, namely “water availability per capita”, “net primary production”, “forest accessibility”, “vegetation continuity” and “climatic resources availability”, assigning respectively the weights of 0.19, 0.21, 0.165, 0.21 and 0.225. Before to perform the analysis the variables “water availability per capita”, “forest accessibility” and “vegetation continuity” were log transformed to shorten the extreme variation and then together with the other two variables were score-standardized (converted to distribution with average of 0 and standard deviation of 1; all variables with inverse method) in order to be comparable. The 6 arc-minute grid “water availability per capita” of 2005 was computed by sum of the run-off and discharge grids produced by World Water Development Report II and then sampled at 0.5 arc-minutes. A focal statistic ran with a radius of 55 cells (about 50 Km). This had a smoothing effect and represents some of the extend influence of major rivers as a resources for local people. To calculate the available water per capita it was then divided by the population. The 5 arc-minute grid “net primary production” of 2000 was gathered from FAO GeoNetwork and sampled at 0.5 arc-minute. Also in this case a focal statistic ran with a radius of 22 cells (about 20 Km) in order to represents the extend effect of primary production as natural resources for local people. The 0.5 arc-minute grid “forest accessibility” was build using the grid of travel distance in minutes to large cities (which one with population greater than 50,000 people), produced by the European Commission and the World Bank to represent the connectivity in 2000, and the grid of forest occurrence, extracted from the FAO Global Land Cover-SHARE dataset of 2014. The result measures the distance in minutes between forest and cities, thus is a proxy for remoteness and naturalness of forest. The 0.125 arc-minute grid “vegetation continuity” of 2010 were collected from University of Maryland and NASA and sampled at 0.5 arc-minute. A focal statistic ran with a radius of 55 cells (about 50 Km). This had a smoothing effect and represents some of the extend influence of vegetation concentration as a resources for local people. Finally the 0.5 arc-minute grid “climatic resources availability” was produced within the ClimAfrica project. The “water availability per capita” represents the potential water available per people in a certain area. We can consider the area with small values more sensitive to climatic stress, because lack a buffer of water resources, precious in a prevalently rain-fed agricultural system like in Africa. The “net primary production” and the “vegetation continuity” are proxies of the potential vegetal productivity available in a certain area. Moreover “vegetation continuity” is an indicator of abundance of natural ecosystem services that can reduce the sensitivity of human-environment systems. The “forest accessibility” assessing the distance between human and natural system measure the anthropogenic degree of a forest. A forest recording a high anthropogenic degree (thus near in terms of minute from a city) may potentially be threaded by human activity and thus represent a fragile ecosystem. Finally the “climatic resources availability” is an indicator of the climatic potential for biomass production. It is based on the climatically determined biomass productivity index that is a proxy for the atmospheric energy available for biomass production, as expressed by accumulated temperature, adjusted for drought stress.
This dataset has been produced in the framework of the “Climate change predictions in Sub-Saharan Africa: impacts and adaptations (ClimAfrica)” project, Work Package 4 (WP4). More information on ClimAfrica project is provided in the Supplemental Information section of this metadata.
Data publication: 2014-09-01
Supplemental Information:
ClimAfrica was an international project funded by European Commission under the 7th Framework Programme (FP7) for the period 2010-2014. The ClimAfrica consortium was formed by 18 institutions, 9 from Europe, 8 from Africa, and the Food and Agriculture Organization of United Nations (FAO).
ClimAfrica was conceived to respond to the urgent international need for the most appropriate and up-to-date tools and methodologies to better understand and predict climate change, assess its impact on African ecosystems and population, and develop the correct adaptation strategies. Africa is probably the most vulnerable continent to climate change and climate variability and shows diverse range of agro-ecological and geographical features. Thus the impacts of climate change can be very high and can greatly differ across the continent, and even within countries.
The project focused on the following specific objectives:
-
Develop improved climate predictions on seasonal to decadal climatic scales, especially relevant to SSA;
-
Assess climate impacts in key sectors of SSA livelihood and economy, especially water resources and agriculture;
-
Evaluate the vulnerability of ecosystems and civil population to inter-annual variations and longer trends (10 years) in climate;
-
Suggest and analyse new suited adaptation strategies, focused on local needs;
-
Develop a new concept of 10 years monitoring and forecasting warning system, useful for food security, risk management and civil protection in SSA;
-
Analyse the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture and water resources in SSA and the cost-effectiveness of potential adaptation measures.
The work of ClimAfrica project was broken down into the following work packages (WPs) closely connected. All the activities described in WP1, WP2, WP3, WP4, WP5 consider the domain of the entire South Sahara Africa region. Only WP6 has a country specific (watershed) spatial scale where models validation and detailed processes analysis are carried out.
Contact points:
Metadata Contact: FAO-Data
Resource Contact: Selvaraju Ramasamy
Resource constraints:
copyright
Online resources:
Natural resources sensitivity index (2010)
Project deliverable D4.1 - Scenarios of major production systems in Africa
Climafrica Website - Climate Change Predictions In Sub-Saharan Africa: Impacts And Adaptations
